Toy Machine Gun

Name: Toy Machine Gun
Brand: Rust
Price: 1.58 USD
Availability: InStock

This is a skin for the M249 item. You will be able to apply this skin at a repair bench or when you craft the item in game.

Breaks down into 1 x Metal

Dominant colours Blue

Breaks down into 1 x Metal

✓ Marketable ✓ Tradable

View on the Steam Market

Last known price:

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★ AbnormalA special Facepunch category: Abnormal skins become Marketable on a fixed day every week, before normal skins (which have to wait for the next store rotation). It is not a visual effect — it is about WHEN it goes live on the market, not how it looks. ◇ TransparentPart of the item is translucent or glass-like instead of solid.

First seen 2026-08-27 09:31:41 · last seen 2026-08-30 20:35:09

Market price

Analysis

Coming soon

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Opportunity ScoreA single 0–100 score summarising whether this skin is worth buying right now, combining expected return, demand, liquidity, scarcity and risk.

Market data (real, updated by SCMM)

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LiquidityHow easily this skin can be bought or sold without moving the price much — it depends on how many people trade it every day.

41/100

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Copies in circulationAn estimate of how many copies of this skin exist in total, based on the Steam inventories SCMM has been able to track.

14,405

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Real change 7 daysHow much the real price of this skin has gone up or down over that period, exactly as it happened — not a prediction, a past fact.

▲ 7.48%

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Real change 30 daysHow much the real price of this skin has gone up or down over that period, exactly as it happened — not a prediction, a past fact.

▲ 15.33%

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Real change 90 daysHow much the real price of this skin has gone up or down over that period, exactly as it happened — not a prediction, a past fact.

▲ 43.64%

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All-time highThe highest price this skin has ever reached, with the date it happened.

(09/01/22)

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All-time lowThe lowest price this skin has ever reached.

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Price volatility (7 days)How much the price moves from one day to the next, in dollars. A high number means the price jumps a lot; a low one, that it stays stable. It is calculated from the real data gathered this week — the fewer points, the less reliable it still is.

±$0.038

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Liquidity trend (7 days)Whether more or fewer people are trading this skin, comparing the start and end of the last week. Positive means liquidity is improving; negative, that it is dropping.

▼ 16.33%

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Comparables (similar skins)Other similar skins (same collection, same item type, similar attributes) used as a reference to estimate how this one will behave.

17 found ↓

Prediction (coming soon — needs more accumulated history)

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RecommendationThe final decision in one word: BUY, WAIT, AVOID or SELL — based on everything else in this panel.

Not enough evidence

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Expected ROI 30 daysHow much the price of this skin is expected to rise (or fall) over that period, as a percentage of the current price.

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Estimated days to peakEstimated days until the price reaches its peak before it starts to fall.

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Copyright riskThe likelihood of this skin running into legal trouble for looking too much like another company's brand, character or design — which could make Facepunch remove it.

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Removal probabilityThe likelihood of this skin no longer being sold or being removed from the game in the future (copyright, a Facepunch decision or other reasons).

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Prediction confidenceHow far the prediction can be trusted — it depends on whether there is enough history, whether the market is stable and whether there are similar skins to compare with.

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Detected factorsNews, game updates or specific events the system has detected as relevant to the price of this particular skin.

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The top part ("Market data") is real information, available today. The bottom part ("Prediction") needs more of our own accumulated history before it switches on — better to show the gap than to invent a number.

Appearances in the weekly store

This skin has not appeared in any recorded store rotation yet.

Collection: Toy

This skin is part of a collection of 18 skins. View the whole collection →

✓ Marketable ✓ Tradable